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Articles

Dec 31, 2024

How to respond to Russia’s hybrid war on the West? Hybrid counterattack.

On Christmas Day, a cable carrying electricity from Finland to Estonia was severed in the Baltic Sea, while four other submarine cables carrying data were damaged. Finnish authorities found an anchor drag mark on the seabed and seized a tanker that is believed to be part of the “shadow fleet” that Russia uses to export oil and gas in violation of Western sanctions.

Washington Post

Dec 27, 2024

Russia has a history of downing passenger planes — and covering it up

A decade ago, Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, flying from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, went down over a portion of eastern Ukraine controlled by Russian-backed forces, killing 298 passengers and crew. The Kremlin denied responsibility and spun out various conspiracy theories, blaming the crash on either a Ukrainian fighter jet or some kind of elaborate CIA plot. (A Russian website even bizarrely claimed that the passengers were already dead when the plane took off.) Eventually a Dutch-led investigation proved that the airplane had been brought down by a Russian Buk surface-to-air missile system fired from the Russian-controlled region of Ukraine.

Washington Post

Dec 20, 2024

Iran is weakened. Could Trump make the ‘ultimate deal’?

The fall of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad has dealt a devastating blow to Iran’s strategy of dominating the Middle East via proxies. The Assad regime was not only Iran’s most important ally but also a vital conduit to Lebanon’s Hezbollah, Iran’s most powerful proxy militia. It will be hard to rebuild Hezbollah after the mauling it has received from Israel if Syria doesn’t cooperate — and there is every reason to believe that the Sunni regime taking shape in Damascus will be hostile to Shiite rulers in Tehran. Meanwhile, in Gaza, another major Iranian-supported militia — Hamas — also lies in ruins.

Washington Post

Dec 19, 2024

Ukraine had reason to kill a Russian general, but what good will it do?

A year ago, the online publication Task & Purpose counted at least seven Russian generals killed during the war in Ukraine. In Western countries, their deaths were generally applauded, because Russia is the aggressor in the conflict and the generals were killed in combat. The United States reportedly provided the intelligence that allowed Ukrainian forces to target some of the headquarters where these generals died.

Washington Post

Dec 13, 2024

New Jersey needs to get a grip. But our drone defenses need work.

Mass hysteria is a recurring feature of American life. In 1938, it was about an alien invasion — sparked by Orson Welles’s radio drama “The War of the Worlds.” In the 1950s, it was flying saucers. Today, it’s drones — another form of UFO, or unidentified flying object.

Washington Post

Dec 8, 2024

The 10 days that shook the Middle East

The historian’s occupational hazard is giving the impression that what happened must have happened, that the march of events was inevitably leading to a single destination. Recent events in Syria — and I do mean recent — show how unpredictable history actually is when seen in real-time rather than in retrospect.

Washington Post

Dec 4, 2024

Aleppo’s sudden fall reveals stark realities in Syria

The United States can’t overthrow Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad, but it shouldn’t prop him up.

Washington Post

Nov 27, 2024

Netanyahu reached a cease-fire with Hezbollah. Why not with Hamas?

The cease-fire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel is being touted by right-wing admirers of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as evidence that Israel can use its superior military power to force its enemies to meet its demands without the kinds of compromises advocated by the supposedly wimpy Biden administration.

Washington Post

Nov 21, 2024

Is the U.S. military too ‘woke’ to win wars? Hardly.

Why does President-elect Donald Trump intend to nominate as his defense secretary Pete Hegseth, a 44-year-old Fox News host and former major in the Army National Guard who has no experience running a vast organization like the Defense Department and who is now embroiled in a sexual assault scandal? (He denies wrongdoing in the 2017 incident, and no police charges were filed.)

Washington Post

Nov 18, 2024

Ukraine’s ATACMS: What Will the U.S. Missiles Mean for the War?

With little more than two months left in office, President Joe Biden has belatedly heeded Ukraine’s pleas and reportedly allowed the use of American-provided Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) inside Russia. This comes a little more than a week after another post-election decision to allow a small number of U.S. defense contractors to fix U.S.-made weapons systems inside Ukraine, rather than forcing Ukrainians to take their weapons to North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries for repair. All of this calls to mind the anonymous quip—often wrongly attributed to former United Kingdom Prime Minister Winston Churchill—that Americans can always be counted on to do the right thing, but only after exhausting all the other options.

Council on Foreign Relations

Nov 15, 2024

Why Trump’s Hegseth nomination for defense is a danger to the U.S. military

During his first presidential term, Donald Trump appointed a number of generals or retired generals to senior jobs, including Jim Mattis as defense secretary, H.R. McMaster as national security adviser, and John F. Kelly, first as homeland security secretary and then White House chief of staff. Trump, who had avoided military service during the Vietnam War, initially seemed to revel in the aura of martial manliness that they conferred on his administration. He loved calling Mattis “Mad Dog,” a nickname that the cerebral retired Marine general disliked.

Washington Post

Nov 12, 2024

How Trump the dealmaker can broker peace in Ukraine

During his campaign, President-elect Donald Trump promised, as one of his first orders of business, to end the war in Ukraine. “I will get that settled and fast,” he vowed during his lone debate with Vice President Kamala Harris, adding, “If I’m president-elect, I’ll get it done before even becoming president.” But Trump never outlined a plan for accomplishing that ambitious objective, and now he faces the challenge of making good on his promise.

Washington Post

Nov 5, 2024

Moldova just voted for freedom. But what happens if Trump wins?

A female presidential candidate just defeated a Russian-backed male who threatens democracy and has faced corruption charges. Whether or not the Moldovan election result is an augury for the U.S. election, it is undoubtedly good news for the cause of freedom around the world — and bad news for dictators like Vladimir Putin who seek to impose their will on their neighbors.

Washington Post

Oct 30, 2024

For the U.S. military, the ‘enemy from within’ might be Trump himself

Israel-Iran hostilities. North Korean troops getting ready to fight Ukraine. Chinese military exercises around Taiwan. Suspected Russian sabotage in Europe, and Russia providing targeting data to the Houthis.

Washington Post

Oct 28, 2024

Israel is trying to uproot Iran’s influence. Iraq shows how hard that is.

Having killed two of its leading enemies — Hamas’s Yahya Sinwar and Hezbollah’s Hasan Nasrallah — Israel is expanding its military ambitions in the multifront struggle against Iranian proxies. Israel is not only trying to stop Hezbollah from rocketing northern Israel, it is also bombing the group’s financial institutions all over Lebanon to undermine the terrorist organization’s grip on the Lebanese state. Hope is growing, at least in some quarters, that Israel can ultimately defeat Iran and, as a former Mossad chief recently said, “reshape the Middle East.”

Washington Post

Oct 26, 2024

I was naive about Iraq. Will Israel be naive about Iran now?

A year ago, it was unthinkable for Israel and Iran to be directly attacking each other’s territory. The two countries have carried on a shadow war for years, with Israel targeting Iranian nuclear scientists, Iranian supply convoys in Syria and the like, while Iran sponsored proxy attacks on Israel by Hamas and Hezbollah, among other militant groups. But the two countries refrained from directly bombing each other. Now, what was unthinkable has, alas, become routine.

Washington Post

Oct 21, 2024

If Trump wins, we could return to the world of the 1930s

American voters tend be pretty parochial in their approach to elections, focusing on domestic issues above all. I’m not sure if enough of them are fully aware of the stakes in this presidential election. The choice between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump is a referendum not only on America’s future but also on the entire world’s.

Washington Post

Oct 10, 2024

There is no purely military solution to Israel’s security woes

Little more than a year ago, on Oct. 7, 2023, Israel suffered arguably the second-biggest intelligence and military failure in its history (after the 1973 Yom Kippur War). Hamas terrorists invaded Israel, killing approximately 1,200 people and kidnapping at least 25o more. Israel had never looked weaker or more vulnerable.

Washington Post

Oct 7, 2024

As drone tech zooms ahead, the Pentagon scrambles to adapt

Drones, particularly aerial drones (or what the U.S. military calls “unmanned aerial systems”), are all the rage in warfare. Hailed as the new wonder weapon of the 21st century, they are employed in combat by Ukraine and Russia, and by Israel and Hezbollah. Drones conduct surveillance missions (making it almost impossible for ground forces to advance undetected) and strike missions — either by doing an explosives-laden kamikaze dive at a target or by firing a missile or dropping a bomb. And drones are so cheap and widely available that any armed group in the world can now field its own air force — or its own navy. Ukraine, lacking a conventional navy of its own, used sea drones to disable at least a third of the Russian Black Sea Fleet and reopen the Black Sea to Ukrainian exports.

Washington Post

Sep 28, 2024

Hasan Nasrallah is gone. But the threat of Hezbollah remains.

No one should shed any tears over the death of Hasan Nasrallah, the longtime leader of Hezbollah, in an Israeli airstrike Friday. He was a terrorist kingpin with the deaths of countless innocents — including Israelis, Americans, Syrians and fellow Lebanese — on his hands. His demise was, as President Joe Biden said, “a measure of justice for his many victims.”

Washington Post
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